Ada County, Idaho Market Pulse Week of June 8 · from Luke Gilbert's team |
Sellers are starting to blink first. Asking prices for resale homes just took their biggest weekly drop in months, while the number of listings keeps inching up. Buyers, meanwhile, aren’t biting any faster. The gap between what sellers want and what buyers will pay is narrowing, but it’s happening quietly, one price cut at a time. There’s a similar story on the new construction side. Builders are holding inventory steady, but the homes that go under contract are doing so at higher prices than last week. Still, it’s taking longer to get deals done, and the slow pace is a sign that buyers remain cautious, especially with monthly payments still elevated. Existing homes Resale listings climbed again, up to 948. That’s 24 more homes than last week, adding even more choice for buyers who can afford to wait. The median asking price dropped by $12,501, landing at $662,499. That’s a significant pullback after last week’s jump, and suggests some sellers are done waiting for last year’s numbers to return. The typical existing home is taking 24 days to find a buyer, just a day longer than last week, but enough to keep pressure on pricing. Pending sales nudged up by 5, now at 648, but the price on those deals didn’t move. The median for homes going under contract is still $574,900. That price gap between what’s listed and what’s selling remains wide. It’s a market where buyers are patient, and sellers who want to move are the ones making the first move on price. New construction Inventory of brand new homes didn’t budge, holding at 389 active listings. Builders shaved $4,910 off the median asking price, now at $669,990. But the pace is slogging—57 days on the market, up another four days from last week. If you’re selling new, you’re waiting almost two months for a buyer right now. Pending new construction ticked down by just one unit, but the median pending price jumped nearly $10,000 to $624,900. Deals are happening at higher prices, but they’re taking longer to close—62 days from list to contract, up eight days. My read on this is that buyers are still negotiating hard, but the homes that do sell are either discounted with incentives or hitting the sweet spot for buyers who have already decided to wait out the rate environment. The bigger picture Mortgage rates aren’t budging, still sitting around 6.9 percent. That keeps monthly payments high for anyone shopping above $450,000, which now covers most of Ada County’s active listings. The Fed didn’t change course, so don’t expect relief on borrowing costs in the near term. For most sellers, this means more competition and a buyer pool that’s careful, not desperate. On the buy side, you’ll see more room to negotiate, but patience is still your best tool—the longer a home sits, the more likely the price drops or incentives show up. Material costs are still under pressure from persistent inflation, so builders aren’t likely to flood the market with new, cheaper homes any time soon. If you’re hoping for a wave of affordable new construction in Eagle or Meridian, the numbers just aren’t pointing that way yet. The numbers this week don’t force a new conclusion, but they do make the pattern harder to ignore. Sellers are blinking first, buyers are quietly holding their ground, and the standoff is stretching a little longer each week. Whether anyone decides to break from the script this summer is what I’m watching for next. | |||
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Prepared for you by Luke Gilbert |